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Do You Understnad The Delegate Process?
Feb 05, 2008 20:55:48
 As a volunteer for the Ron Paul For President Campaign, I made 100's of calls to registered republicans and encountered many who voted early for Ron Paul, and many more who were glad they learned about him in time to cast their votes today. While I do feel that it's a toss up race, my educated position on the process makes it clear to see that the nomination remains within Ron Paul's grasp, despite what media and some uneducated people are saying.
Understanding the delegate process is paramount to understanding how the nomination is won.
For those who aren't clear on this I will shed some light...
In the Republican party the nomination is had by the candidate who secures 1191 delegate votes at the National convention. With 4 men running on the Republican ticket it is almost guaranteed we will see a brokered convention, the first in over 60 years. That means that most voters today are not aware how it works.
It is highly unlikely that the first ballots cast at the National convention will be enough for any of the candidates to win. When this happens the delegates are now free to vote their conscience in the remaining ballots cast until a nominee is selected.
So don't let the media spoon feed you dukey about who's going to win. We will have an idea how things look going into the convention, but it is truly going to be the beliefs of those individual delegates that decide the winner, not the primaries... and with the true level of support Ron Paul has that seems to be being censored by the biased media, there's actually a very good chance he could win it.
According to Fox News, California's new rules for apportioning delegates in its primary mean less-popular candidates such as Ron Paul can get big bang for the buck--for example, if he can get even a couple of thousand Republicans in the SF bay area to vote for him, it could mean three delegates at the convention.
Keep in mind as well, that the likelihood of Huckabee dropping out is really high, and that would free his delegates to vote their conscience on the first ballot. It is estimated that we may see as many as 3, 4, or even 5 ballots cast before there is a winner.
I hope for the well-being of this Nation and all of its inhabitants that by the grace of God we come to find that we did our job getting enough Paul supporting delegates to the convention... because at this stage it doesn't matter who's been awarded what delegates, as it is about 99% sure they will not be bound to cast their votes for the candidate they were bound to cast their vote for on ballot one... it is almost assured that they will be free to vote their conscience on subsequent ballots, and I can't wait to see how it turns out. I feel privileged to be part of this history in the making.
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